The latest statistics from @orbinho reveal that Arsenal are in with a very realistic chance of winning the Premier League title, despite throwing away a lead against Swansea City at the Emirates this week.
A team’s overall performance is more or less constant over a couple of seasons, especially with the same manager and team using the same tactics. This would seem to suggest that against certain opponents, teams have a propensity for similar results; for example, Arsenal tend to bottle it against Chelsea no matter who the opposition’s manager is.
From this implication we can make the assumption that results from previous seasons do hold a bit of importance, if only psychological, towards the business end of the season. With 30 points still to be won and Leicester and Tottenham both beginning to stumble in recent games, this is certainly the business end of the season for Arsenal.
If teams replicate 2014-15's results in remaining fixtures, final table:
Man City 70
Man Utd 68
— Orbinho (@Orbinho) March 3, 2016
According to this statistic from Orbinho, Arsenal’s final League position will be 1st with 76 points if the remaining fixtures pan out exactly like last year all across the league.
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While this is not in any ways a support of the squad’s recent performances, I do mean to highlight that we are still in it and one of our trademark late season winning streaks could very well see us walk away with the title at the end of the 10 games left. Arsene Wenger is very rightly under fire for his recent errors of judgement – such as the Joel Campbell sub against Swansea – but we must still keep our faith in the players. It is only through continued support that we can affect any change, the rest is up to the players and manager of our great club.