A new stat suggests that Arsenal are well on course to lift the Premier League trophy in May. The Gunners may be three points behind Chelsea in the table but lead the way in chance conversion, a key indicator of success.
Anyone who watched Arsenal’s match against West Ham on Saturday was given proof that the Gunners know their way to goal. The five put past West Ham was the most an away side has scored this season and evidence suggests that there are more goals to come.
One of the biggest reasons why the Gunners didn’t win the Premier League last season was the side’s failure to convert chances. Only Spurs created more chances than Arsene Wenger’s men last term but four other sides scored more goals.
Creating chances is important but scoring them is even more so. That is an area which Arsenal have drastically improved on this season, scoring 22.8% of shots compared to 16.2% in 2015-16.
It may not seem like it, but chance conversion percentage is a better indicator of title winner than goals scored. In fact, the team which has the highest chance conversion rate has won the Premier League title in each of the last four seasons. The Gunners are at 22.8% and while it is still early in the season, no side has finished the season with a rate of 20% since 2012-13.
Chelsea are in second place after scoring 20.9% of their shots but still lead the way in the table that really matters. It remains to be seen whether Arsenal can continue this success in front of goal and whether the Gunners can finally clinch that long overdue Premier League title.